COIOS
Healthcare today Item refines peer-reviewed

GLP-1 pancreatic cancer hazard shifts with the comparator diabetes drug

In a TriNetX cohort of adults with type 2 diabetes, GLP-1 receptor agonist initiators had a lower hazard of pancreatic cancer than insulin users (HR 0.43), higher hazards than metformin, sulfonylurea, thiazolidinedione and DPP-4 users, and no difference against SGLT2 inhibitors.

A new-user retrospective cohort in the TriNetX electronic health record network compared adults with type 2 diabetes starting a GLP-1 receptor agonist with initiators of six other antidiabetic classes, in six separate propensity-score-matched analyses on 39 covariates, for incident pancreatic cancer between one and twenty years after the index prescription. Relative to insulin the hazard for GLP-1 users was 0.43 (95% CI 0.35-0.53); relative to metformin, sulfonylureas, thiazolidinediones and DPP-4 inhibitors the hazards ran the other way (HRs 1.30-1.39), and no difference was seen against SGLT2 inhibitors. Absolute risk differences were 0.04 to 0.15 percentage points, and the reported absolute risks against insulin sit awkwardly with the hazard ratio.

Why it is interesting: The pancreatic cancer signal for the incretin drugs flips direction depending on the comparator chosen, which is itself the finding about how these EHR analyses are read.

Source
Journal of gastrointestinal cancer, 2026-09-16
DOI
10.1007/s12029-026-01523-w
Type
Peer-reviewed article
Design
Retrospective new-user cohort in the TriNetX federated EHR network, adults with type 2 diabetes, six separate 1:1 propensity-score-matched comparisons on 39 covariates, outcome incident pancreatic cancer 365-7,300 days after index
Verdict
Refines prior evidence
Driver
Cancer
Driver
Obesity, diabetes and the GLP-1 drugs