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Item new Preprint · not peer-reviewed Added

Modelled extra HPV doses for women with HIV averted cervical cancer

A Markov model of 13 African countries found that extra HPV doses for women living with HIV averted cervical cancer beyond routine vaccination at 14, at added programme cost.

An age-structured Markov model, calibrated to 13 African countries, compared six HPV vaccination strategies for women with HIV against routine two-dose vaccination at 14. Mean disability-adjusted life-years averted per 100,000 females ranged from 8.21 for a booster at age 24 to 81.36 for high-coverage booster plus catch-up at 24. Counting avoided cancer treatment, 68 of 78 comparisons were cheaper and more effective for the health system, although every strategy raised vaccination programme costs.

Why it is interesting: Whether the extra doses save money depends on which budget the costs are counted against.

Source
medRxiv, 6 October 2026
Paper
Optimising HPV Vaccination for Cervical Cancer Prevention in Women Living with HIV: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Across 13 African Countries
Authors
Ben Miled S, Trabelsi S, Abbas K, Holroyd TA, Trotter CL
DOI
10.64898/2026.10.05.26364501
Type
Preprint
Design
Age-structured Markov model, closed cohort of 100,000 females, calibrated separately to 13 African countries; six HIV-targeted HPV vaccination strategies versus routine two-dose vaccination at 14
Verdict
New finding
Driver
Value in health
Driver
Cancer
Driver
Infection and pandemics

Other drivers in Data, models and systems