COIOS
Weighing data and models Item new Preprint · not peer-reviewed Added

Preventive treatment to age 45 for drug-resistant TB contacts modelled as cost-effective

A decision-analytic model across 189 countries found that extending levofloxacin preventive treatment for contacts of MDR/RR tuberculosis from under-15s to age 45 was cost-effective at 30% of GDP per capita in 160 countries and cost-saving in 46.

This preprint modelled household contact management for multidrug- or rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis in 189 countries, with age-dependent risks of disease progression, death and adverse events. Adding preventive treatment up to age 45 to a baseline of treatment under 15 was cost-effective at 30% of GDP per capita in 160 countries, including 17 of the 30 highest-incidence countries, while testing for infection before treatment was dominated by treating without testing. Treating contacts of all ages was modelled to avert 9,960 deaths and 289,000 DALYs at a cost of $359 million, alongside 71,000 serious adverse events.

Why it is interesting: The balance of benefit and harm is modelled by age, and testing for infection first is dominated by treating without testing.

Source
medRxiv, 2 October 2026
DOI
10.64898/2026.10.01.26364489
Type
Preprint
Design
Decision-analytic cost-effectiveness model of MDR/RR-tuberculosis household contact management in 189 countries, by age band
Verdict
New finding
Driver
Value in health