COIOS
Healthcare today Item refines preprint

Tirzepatide starters had slightly less new heart failure than semaglutide starters

In a propensity-matched cohort of 848,538 patients with obesity drawn from TriNetX records, one-year new-onset heart failure was 1.0% among tirzepatide initiators versus 1.3% among semaglutide initiators (HR 0.9), with lower all-cause mortality also reported for tirzepatide.

A retrospective cohort study used pooled TriNetX electronic health records to compare 424,269 patients with obesity initiating tirzepatide with an equal number initiating semaglutide between June 2021 and August 2026. One-year incidence of new-onset heart failure was 1.0% with tirzepatide against 1.3% with semaglutide, an absolute difference of 0.3 percentage points (HR 0.9, 95% CI 0.86-0.93), with lower all-cause mortality and lower new-onset systolic heart failure in the tirzepatide group and no difference in atrial fibrillation or flutter.

Why it is interesting: A head-to-head comparison of the two leading incretin drugs on a hard cardiovascular endpoint, though observational and with modest absolute differences.

Source
medRxiv, 26 September 2026
DOI
10.64898/2026.09.21.26363546
Type
Preprint
Design
Retrospective propensity-matched cohort, TriNetX electronic health records, 424,269 per arm, initiations Jun 2021–Aug 2026, one-year follow-up
Verdict
Refines prior evidence
Driver
Heart and stroke
Driver
Obesity, diabetes and GLP-1