COIOSDeep risk insights through multi-disciplinary research across the globe
water ripple
Item new Peer-reviewed Added

NHS online diabetes self-management service modelled at £13,192 per QALY

A patient-level simulation of an NHS online service for type 2 diabetes estimated a gain of 0.016 QALYs and a net cost of £216 per user.

The study assessed the cost-effectiveness of Healthy Living, an NHS online Diabetes Self-Management Education and Support service. Observational one-year reductions in HbA1c, systolic blood pressure and body mass index were entered into the UKPDS-OM2.1 patient-level model. The analysis took an NHS perspective over a lifetime horizon, discounted at 3.5%, compared with usual care. The model predicted 0.016 QALYs gained and a £4 reduction in lifetime healthcare costs per person. Intervention and medication costs of £7 and £212 per user gave £13,192 per QALY, below the £25,000 NICE threshold. Results were sensitive to assumptions about disease progression after the intervention, and effectiveness came from observational data.

Why it is interesting: A digital self-management service gives small risk factor changes that the model turns into a cost per QALY under the NICE threshold.

Source
Diabetic Medicine, 14 October 2026
Paper
Estimating the long‐term cost‐effectiveness of a free online Diabetes Self‐Management Education and Support service in England: Healthy living for people with type 2 diabetes , using a matched cohort study design
Authors
Paterson L, Zghebi SS, Kontopantelis E, Cotterill S, Lowndes E, McMillan B et al.
DOI
10.1111/dme.70490
Type
Peer-reviewed article
Design
Patient-level economic simulation (UKPDS-OM2.1), NHS perspective, lifetime horizon, 3.5% discount, effectiveness from a matched cohort study of NHS Healthy Living
Verdict
New finding
Driver
Value in health
Driver
Obesity, diabetes and GLP-1
Driver
Changing behaviour at scale
Free full text
Free to read at the publisher
Abstract — the authors' own words, CC BY

Abstract

Aims

The National Health Service (NHS) offers

Healthy Living

, an online Diabetes Self‐Management Education and Support service, to help people Self Manage Type 2 Diabetes, with modest 1‐year reductions in HbA1c levels, systolic blood pressure and body mass index. We aim to assess the cost‐effectiveness of

Healthy Living

compared with usual care.

Methods

A patient‐level economic simulation model (UKPDS‐OM2.1) was used to conduct an economic analysis from the NHS perspective over a lifetime horizon, discounted at 3.5%. The model translated risk factor reductions to long‐term cost and quality‐adjusted life year (QALY) estimates. Additional analyses estimated intervention and medication cost consequences.

Results

The UKPDS‐OM2.1 predicted a modest improvement in health (0.016 QALYs) and a small reduction in lifetime healthcare costs (−£4 per person). Offsetting with intervention costs (£7 per user) and increased medication costs (£212 per user) yielded a net cost of £216 per user. The cost‐per‐QALY of £13,192 was below the lower NICE threshold (£25,000/QALY), indicating that the programme is cost‐effective. Sensitivity analyses largely demonstrated robustness, but the finding was sensitive to structural assumptions about disease progression post‐intervention with the inclusion of medication costs.

Conclusion

Healthy Living

appears to be a low‐cost, online intervention for self managing type 2 diabetes, generating modest health benefits that are likely to be considered cost‐effective use of NHS resources. While there is some uncertainty in the cost‐effectiveness and the modelling is based on effectiveness estimated from observational data, improvements in uptake and adherence has the potential to improve the value for money to the NHS.

Other drivers in Data, models and systems