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Item new Peer-reviewed Added

Global heat-related mortality rose by 29% in very strong El Niño years

Estimated heat-related mortality rose 29% in very strong El Niño years, most in low- and medium-Human Development Index regions.

The study examined global heat-related mortality during El Niño years. It covered populations worldwide, grouped into regions by Human Development Index. Epidemiological methods were used to estimate heat-related deaths in very strong El Niño years. Heat-related mortality was estimated to increase by 29% in these years. The greatest burdens fell in low- and medium-Human Development Index regions. The results are estimates, which the authors say only suggest this pattern.

Why it is interesting: It estimates how a recurring climate pattern relates to heat deaths worldwide. The estimated burden is greatest in low- and medium-Human Development Index regions.

Source
Nature Medicine, 4 November 2026
Type
Peer-reviewed article
Design
Global epidemiological modelling of temperature-mortality association by ENSO phase; sample size, locations and years not stated in the available abstract
Verdict
New finding
Driver
A changing climate

Other drivers in Tomorrow's world