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Temperature-attributable deaths in South Korea split by avoidable and non-avoidable cause

Nearly one-third of temperature-attributable deaths in South Korea in 1990-2023 fell in preventable or treatable causes.

The study split temperature-attributable deaths in South Korea into avoidable and non-avoidable causes, using the OECD/Eurostat lists. Nationwide Statistics Korea mortality data for 1990-2023 were analysed with a time-stratified case-crossover design, modelling delayed nonlinear temperature effects. Non-optimum temperature accounted for 5.9% of avoidable deaths and 8.1% of non-avoidable deaths. Within avoidable deaths, it accounted for 9.7% of treatable and 4.3% of preventable deaths. Of all temperature-attributable deaths, 30.1% were avoidable, split 15.3% preventable and 14.8% treatable. Among avoidable causes, circulatory diseases were linked to both cold and heat and formed the largest share.

Why it is interesting: Estimates of temperature-related mortality rarely separate deaths from causes that prevention or healthcare target. Here almost a third of temperature-attributable deaths fell in that avoidable group, led by circulatory diseases.

Source
International Journal of Epidemiology, 2 November 2026
Paper
Avoidable mortality among temperature-attributable deaths in South Korea, 1990-2023
Authors
Oh J, Kang C, Lee W, Min J, Park J, Kim H
DOI
10.1093/ije/dyag246
Type
Peer-reviewed article
Design
Time-stratified case-crossover with distributed lag non-linear models, nationwide South Korean mortality records, 1990-2023
Verdict
New finding
Driver
A changing climate

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