The study modelled health and economic effects of expanding housing access in California. The cohort was the estimated 18,928 people experiencing homelessness with opioid use disorder. An individual-level microsimulation ran over a lifetime horizon. Increases in permanent housing and shelter places were set to Los Angeles County's Measure A goals. Costs covered both housing and healthcare, and the Housing First approach required neither treatment nor abstinence. Expanding housing raised mean age at death by 0.34 years and averted 39 fatal overdoses. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $31,083 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, below conventional willingness-to-pay thresholds. The findings rest on modelled parameters rather than observed outcomes.
Why it is interesting: Housing is costed here as a health intervention and comes in below usual willingness-to-pay thresholds. Opioid overdose deaths and cost per quality-adjusted life-year are assessed in a single model.
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